Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 3.003380 3.544129 4.179905 4.989395 6.002382 7.241136 8.890788e+00
2024-11-03 2.360373 3.076309 4.032096 5.433200 7.490627 10.495215 1.540307e+01
2024-11-10 1.976672 2.737067 3.835849 5.601434 8.493711 13.295527 2.248166e+01
2024-11-17 1.748687 2.541488 3.763189 5.883353 9.702999 16.828156 3.269688e+01
2024-11-24 1.517474 2.286986 3.532167 5.826662 10.288591 19.461806 4.281388e+01
2024-12-01 1.358246 2.113905 3.391338 5.878013 11.073282 22.811931 5.706109e+01
2024-12-08 1.227119 1.963747 3.257546 5.902288 11.801814 26.373216 7.503690e+01
2024-12-15 1.150582 1.894046 3.252032 6.173314 13.162221 32.208527 1.066526e+02
2024-12-22 1.041223 1.749502 3.080800 6.055329 13.560042 35.649106 1.339401e+02
2024-12-29 0.962036 1.649647 2.979617 6.067566 14.298004 40.587214 1.757714e+02
2025-01-05 0.884112 1.542272 2.846613 5.976905 14.731469 44.832251 2.223422e+02
2025-01-12 0.838982 1.492691 2.825162 6.149343 15.995724 53.056229 3.141713e+02
2025-01-19 0.761443 1.379005 2.670295 6.008541 16.443235 59.306813 4.220579e+02
2025-01-26 0.738548 1.375441 2.762130 6.559118 19.533111 81.503404 8.232651e+02
2025-02-02 0.695988 1.323934 2.734130 6.772469 21.592342 101.958692 1.436979e+03
2025-02-09 0.665824 1.294485 2.752392 7.129588 24.484671 133.187577 2.887722e+03
2025-02-16 0.617324 1.217976 2.641655 7.057688 25.547987 154.325219 4.801611e+03
2025-02-23 0.580670 1.163684 2.578127 7.122817 27.331050 186.286219 9.294076e+03
2025-03-02 0.546426 1.110778 2.509567 7.153618 29.016395 222.993641 1.919319e+04
2025-03-09 0.527497 1.091524 2.527548 7.497993 32.700589 296.291164 6.405417e+04
2025-03-16 0.492530 1.029743 2.419114 7.347967 33.484936 336.792656 1.519218e+05
2025-03-23 0.466462 0.986951 2.357817 7.363518 35.365672 405.069143 5.951802e+05
2025-03-30 0.438693 0.937096 2.269144 7.248338 36.357664 465.713587 2.848449e+06